Much of my September 1999 book In Praise of Hard Industries was quickly vindicated when America’s New Economy boom collapsed in 2000. But until recently my baleful analysis of the growth in financial services — “the economics of the cancer cell,” I called it — remained controversial. Not anymore. My analysis can be read online via Amazon’s Look Inside feature but, for convenience sake, here it is verbatim and in its entirety.
[Chapter 3 of Eamonn Fingleton’s 1999 book In Praise of Hard Industries: Why Manufacturing, Not the Information Economy, Is the Key to Future Prosperity.]
As we noted in chapter 1, the financial services industry ranks second only to computer software in the extent to which it is extolled by postindustrialists. And true enough, at first sight, the postindustrialists’ enthusiasm for financial services seems to make sense. After all, pay levels in financial services are generally well above average. Moreover, many kinds of financial services have shown extraordinarily rapid growth in recent decades, not least in the two leading postindustrial economies, the United States and the United Kingdom.