Finance: A cuckoo in the economy’s nest

Much of my September 1999 book In Praise of Hard Industries was quickly vindicated when America’s New Economy boom collapsed in 2000. But until recently my baleful analysis of the growth in financial services — “the economics of the cancer cell,” I called it — remained controversial. Not anymore. My analysis can be read online via Amazon’s Look Inside feature but, for convenience sake, here it is verbatim and in its entirety.

[Chapter 3 of Eamonn Fingleton’s 1999 book In Praise of Hard Industries: Why Manufacturing, Not the Information Economy, Is the Key to Future Prosperity.]

As we noted in chapter 1, the financial services industry ranks second only to computer software in the extent to which it is extolled by postindustrialists. And true enough, at first sight, the postindustrialists’ enthusiasm for financial services seems to make sense. After all, pay levels in financial services are generally well above average. Moreover, many kinds of financial services have shown extraordinarily rapid growth in recent decades, not least in the two leading postindustrial economies, the United States and the United Kingdom.

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Boeing, Boeing,….Gone: An article revisited

In a cover story in the American Conservative in January 2005, I documented the remarkable degree to which East Asian governments have been persuading the Boeing corporation to transfer proprietary American aerospace technology. Soon afterwards Unsustainable.org crashed and it was intimated to me, by someone who seemed to know, that the problem had been instigated by political interests offended by my article. I am re-posting it now as its message is more relevant than ever. (To read the article in the original click here.)

One evening a generation ago, several up-and-coming aerospace executives gathered to commune with the Boeing aircraft company’s chief executive Thornton Wilson. The discussion turned to Boeing’s vaunted expertise in making aircraft wings. Wilson evidently came across as boastful—so much so that a young General Electric executive named Harry Stonecipher suggested that Boeing was arrogant. “And rightly so,” came Wilson’s serene reply.

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Pursuing prosperity: Address to the Ukrainian Academy of Sciences

This is the abstract of a keynote address delivered I made at a conference organized by the Ukrainian Academy of Sciences in Kiev on November 13, 2008.

One of my most vivid childhood memories was watching Sputnik streak across the night sky in Ireland in 1957. I now know that Ukraine was not only the homeland of Sputnik’s creator Sergey Korolev but was the source of much of the most advanced work on the Soviet space program. Ukraine’s glorious record in aerospace suggests that it will be more than averagely successful in its industrial development plans for the twenty-first century.

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A heated banker and a hurt professor

Now that the American economy has been revealed to everyone (not just to readers of my books) as a house of cards, I thought it might be safe to suggest that things in 1990s Japan weren’t all that bad. Two Tokyo-based observers have surfaced to divert attention from my argument.

My article “Japan Then, America Now” (September issue of the Number 1 Shimbun) continues to draw fire. Writing before the collapse of Lehman Brothers, I argued that the economic crisis already so obviously in prospect for the United States would prove far more serious than Japan’s problems of the 1990s. My analysis has not only been side-swiped by the Japan Times columnist Professor Gregory Clark but has been heatedly denounced by Danforth Thomas, a former top investment banker at Goldman Sachs in Tokyo.

I will deal with Clark in a moment but first let’s dispose of Thomas, who as a new recruit to Tokyo’s burgeoning Fingleton-bashing industry (Clark is a founding member of two decades’ standing), deserves welcome-wagon treatment.

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Finance is too important to be left to Wall Street’s self-interest

Getting the American economy back on solid ground will require new financial regulations. Goldman Sachs alums aren’t the people for the job. [As published in the American Conservative on October 20, 2008.]

As bewildered Americans survey the wreckage of their nation’s once vaunted financial system, they could do worse than reacquaint themselves with one of Wall Street’s oldest and most revealing parables.

The story goes that an out-of-town customer dropped by to talk to his broker and afterwards was ushered around Lower Manhattan’s yacht-filled docks.

“Here is Mr. Morgan’s yacht,” his guide pointed out. “This is Mr. Bache’s, and over there is Mr. Drexel’s.”

“Where are the customers’ yachts?” the visitor naïvely asked.

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The Clark-Fingleton discussion

Below, set out in chronological order, is a series of three exchanges between  Professor Gregory Clark and me concerning, among other things, the problems for foreign correspondents in reporting the truth from Japan. Clark, a Japan-based educator and columnist for the semi-official Japan Times, has been a key insider in Tokyo since the 1970s.

The controversy began when Clark criticized Fingleton’s contrarian views on Sino-Japanese relations in the Number 1 Shimbun, the magazine of the Foreign Correspondents’ Club of Japan.

This is Fingleton’s reply, published in the magazine’s July issue:

To the Editor of the Number 1 Shimbun

I’d like to respond to some Fingleton-bashing in your pages lately. Professor Clark suggests (Number 1 Shimbun, May 2008) that I see “plots and schemes” everywhere. Not at all. On the basis of a near-40-year career spanning three continents, I know that establishment news sources in most parts of the developed world are generally relatively truthful. Tokyo, however, is an exception. Here the version of reality presented to the foreign press is a kabuki play within a kabuki play within a kabuki play….

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Dangerous Business: A devastating account of the downside of globalism

Pat Choate has written the ultimate riposte to the radical globalists who dominate policy-making in Washington. [This review first appeared in the September 15, 2008 issue of Manufacturing & Technology News.]

Americans of a certain age know that something is profoundly wrong. Their nation is not what it used to be. But what exactly is amiss?

In his new book Dangerous Business: The Risks of Globalization for America, economist Pat Choate provides a deeply researched and authoritative answer: the fashion for radical globalism of the last two decades has driven American society off a cliff.

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Japan then, America now: A misleading comparison

America’s economic crisis today is not like Japan’s in the 1990s. It is far worse. (This article was first published in the Number 1 Shimbun, the magazine of the Foreign Correspondents’ Club of Japan.)

American commentators have been rushing to draw parallels between America’s recently worsening financial and economic problems with what happened to Japan in the 1990s. In many ways such parallels are reassuring and seem particularly so for Americans who have visited Japan lately. After all, not only did Japan come through its post-bubble strains without any serious job losses, let alone wider social dislocations but, as any visitor can tell at a glance, the Japanese people are now clearly among the world’s richest consumers. In the clothes they wear, for instance, they are second to none. Indeed, Tokyo has been pronounced the world capital of street fashion by influential Paris-based fashion guru Suzy Menkes. Thanks to good food and good health care, the Japanese now enjoy the highest life expectancy of any major nation. As for high-tech products, name any major nation with a more sophisticated mobile-phone system or such consistently fast Internet connections. And how many other nations boast such a high penetration of car-navigation devices?

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The decline of the American empire: An expert witness’s account

Senator Ernest F. Hollings’s recently published autobiography, Making Government Work, is wise, well-written, and consistently absorbing.

Rarely has Senator Fritz Hollings used his renowned wit to more devastating effect than when he was interviewed in 1990 on the ABC program, This Week with David Brinkley. Some weeks earlier he had reportedly bought a bargain-priced Korean-made suit on a field trip to Seoul. Given his role as a leading critic of Korean dumping in the American textile market, the alleged purchase was the sort of trivia that passed for news in some quarters. Although Hollings had arrived at the ABC studio expecting to talk about the federal government’s worsening budget deficits, the interviewer Sam Donaldson lost no time in getting to the nub of the matter: whether or not Hollings was at that moment wearing the notorious suit.

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Nanking: A sequel to a sequel to a sequel

News travels slowly where corrections to the New York Times‘s international edition are concerned.

See below a correction that appeared in the print edition of the International Herald Tribune, the New York Times‘s international edition,  on March 17, 2008. The correction also appeared for a time at the newspaper’s website IHT.com but as of today (April 3, 2008) it seems to have been deleted. Getting the truth out about East Asian affairs has never been easy but rarely has it been this difficult.

EDITOR’S NOTE [Published in the International Herald Tribune/Monday, March 17, 2008]

Two letters published in the IHT on Dec. 21 wrongly portrayed the views
presented in an article by Eamonn Fingleton, ”A quiet anniversary: The rape of
Nanking” (Views, Dec. 18). The article described how the anniversary of the
Nanking massacre was being marked in China. It did not deny that Imperial Japan
had committed atrocities nor did it suggest that information about the massacre
should not be taught in Japanese schools.

To read both the original article as published in the IHT on December 18, 2007 and the subsequent letters, click here.

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